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Author Topic: Cognitive Biases  (Read 736 times)
Zanthius
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Re: Cognitive Biases
« Reply #15 on: August 20, 2017, 10:46:05 pm »

I think youtuber vihart explained this better than I could.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Td5xFxiEuQQ

Very good video. Seems like a very nice and intelligent woman (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vi_Hart). Would love to have people like her working for me, with teaching mathematics and music to children in my educational facilities.

Anyhow. Her conclusion seems to be that support for Donald Trump correlates most strongly with old age. Then it is of course old people suffering from the fallacy of rosy retrospection. This cognitive bias should also increase as we get older, since we strengthen the cozy memories from the past more and more as we get older.

The best way to fight against the fallacy of rosy retrospection, is probably by keeping the mind occupied with learning new things all the time. Then we won't have a lot of time for retrospection, and we won't fall into the trap of romanticizing the past.

I must admit, that I have suffered quite a bit from this bias myself, for example by romanticizing the first time I played Star Control 2 as a child. 
« Last Edit: August 20, 2017, 11:13:16 pm by Zanthius » Logged
Death 999
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Re: Cognitive Biases
« Reply #16 on: August 21, 2017, 03:45:57 am »

And ever since the election they've been realizing that he didn't really speak for them either...
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Scalare
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Re: Cognitive Biases
« Reply #17 on: August 21, 2017, 10:09:58 am »

And ever since the election they've been realizing that he didn't really speak for them either...

That's politics. Smoke and mirrors.
It is not about idealism or about improving the world or country that you live in, atleast not on those levels. It is about power and remaining in power.
Don't get me wrong, there are people who work through idealism and generally don't participate in malicious, shady acts to gain more power, but by the fact that they don't do 'whatever it takes' to gain power they never make it to the level that the US Presidency is at.
In the end I guess it comes down to choosing which puppetmaster controls our strings, with their strings being controlled by hidden puppet masters of their own.
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Death 999
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Re: Cognitive Biases
« Reply #18 on: August 21, 2017, 01:51:49 pm »

That model doesn't seems optimized for seeming worldly and cynical rather than for working well. What sorts of malicious acts brought Obama or Carter to power?
« Last Edit: September 10, 2017, 02:00:46 pm by Death 999 » Logged
Zanthius
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Re: Cognitive Biases
« Reply #19 on: September 10, 2017, 10:55:15 am »

Here is a business idea:

Make a TV-series about cognitive biases, where each episode investigates a specific bias.  Wikipedia lists more than 180 cognitive biases (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_cognitive_biases), so you should have enough material for a lot of episodes.

If this is done well, I am sure you could make a lot of money from it, and it would be educationally beneficial to humanity.
« Last Edit: September 10, 2017, 12:26:04 pm by Zanthius » Logged
Zanthius
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Re: Cognitive Biases
« Reply #20 on: October 12, 2017, 10:37:31 am »



https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Principle_of_least_effort

I have also written a bit about a few more cognitive biases.

http://archania.org/the_never-ending_battle_against_our_cognitive_biases.html
« Last Edit: October 12, 2017, 10:27:55 pm by Zanthius » Logged
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Re: Cognitive Biases
« Reply #21 on: October 12, 2017, 11:35:55 pm »

In physics - current follows every path. Just, those with lower resistance take more current. At fixed source voltage, parallel paths do not impact each others' current (if the source is not a perfect voltage source, there will be effects).
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Zanthius
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Re: Cognitive Biases
« Reply #22 on: October 13, 2017, 08:27:09 am »

In physics - current follows every path. Just, those with lower resistance take more current. At fixed source voltage, parallel paths do not impact each others' current (if the source is not a perfect voltage source, there will be effects).

Interesting. Seems like I am suffering a bit from this tendency to use simplistic explanations myself....

Is this better?

« Last Edit: October 13, 2017, 06:32:41 pm by Zanthius » Logged
Zanthius
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Re: Cognitive Biases
« Reply #23 on: October 16, 2017, 10:27:16 am »



http://archania.org/the_never-ending_battle_against_our_cognitive_biases.html
« Last Edit: October 16, 2017, 11:25:41 pm by Zanthius » Logged
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Re: Cognitive Biases
« Reply #24 on: October 17, 2017, 12:03:53 am »

If you're not going to base that on real events, I'd make it fully fictional.
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Zanthius
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Re: Cognitive Biases
« Reply #25 on: October 17, 2017, 07:57:01 am »

If you're not going to base that on real events, I'd make it fully fictional.

It was originally intended just as a model, where I would use "Country A" instead of Israel, "Country B" instead of Palestine, and write "Hypothetical Conflict". But then I thought I could use the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, since it might be easier for people to relate to.

If I am going to make it factual, I wouldn't just need to base it on real events. I would also need to thoroughly analyze the Israeli and Palestinian history curricula.  That would be a lot of work.

Also, the graph might not look as symmetrical if I base it on real events. Then one of the sides could just say; "but hey!, look at the graph! they have way more transgressions against us, so we are right", which kinda will make them miss the point entirely.

So maybe it would be best to go back to write "Country A", "Country B", and "Hypothetical Conflict".

But what do you mean by fictional? The bias itself certainly isnt fictional.
« Last Edit: October 17, 2017, 12:12:18 pm by Zanthius » Logged
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Re: Cognitive Biases
« Reply #26 on: October 17, 2017, 01:56:02 pm »

I meant country A and B, only perhaps names instead of letters. Also, doesn't need to be countries. Montagues and Capulates seems like a decent pair.
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Zanthius
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Re: Cognitive Biases
« Reply #27 on: October 17, 2017, 07:04:07 pm »

Fixed it:



http://www.archania.org/common_biases_we_need_to_understand.html

I love this. Now the cognitive bias article starts like an attack on nationalism  Wink

Perfect for a progressive word democracy agenda.
« Last Edit: October 17, 2017, 07:07:13 pm by Zanthius » Logged
Zanthius
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Re: Cognitive Biases
« Reply #28 on: October 29, 2017, 07:23:30 pm »

I just finished reading this book:



https://www.amazon.com/You-Are-Not-So-Smart/dp/1592407366/

I really liked it. It was super informative. The guy that wrote the book also has a website: https://youarenotsosmart.com/

I have now ordered this book:



https://www.amazon.com/Thinking-Fast-Slow-Daniel-Kahneman/dp/0374533555/

Apparently it is written by the guy that started the whole cognitive biases movement.
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Sargon
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Re: Cognitive Biases
« Reply #29 on: November 03, 2017, 01:45:06 pm »

The problem is that you didn't even define what is cognitive bias?
The difference between the left and right is that the left is pro diversity of Demographics and the right is pro diversity of opinions.
The first choose to control people's thoughts.

Edit: Also not all cognitive biases are bad.
For instance sexual preferences IS cognitive bias.
There are people who say that straight guys who wouldn't give a chance to trans women in romantic aspect are bigots.
« Last Edit: November 03, 2017, 02:14:58 pm by Sargon » Logged
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