The Ur-Quan Masters Discussion Forum

The Ur-Quan Masters Re-Release => Starbase Café => Topic started by: Zanthius on September 14, 2017, 12:04:14 am



Title: Sustainability
Post by: Zanthius on September 14, 2017, 12:04:14 am
I have started taking a course about sustainability (https://www.coursera.org/learn/sustainability/ (https://www.coursera.org/learn/sustainability/)), just in case I can learn some new things, which I can use on my page about ending the destruction of our habitat (http://archania.org/ending_the_destruction_of_our_habitat.html (http://archania.org/ending_the_destruction_of_our_habitat.html)).

So far, I have learned about an equation which I am going to write a little about:

(http://www.thwink.org/sustain/articles/011_IPAT_Equation/IPAT_Equation.png)

And I have found a nice graph which shows the decrease in global fisheries:

(https://image.ibb.co/nzYGWv/fisheries.png)

More might come here, if I discover more useful information.


Title: Re: Sustainability
Post by: Zanthius on September 14, 2017, 08:36:19 pm
(https://image.ibb.co/h27WzQ/age_distribution.jpg)

This has now been uploaded to my concluding remarks (http://archania.org/concluding_remarks.html (http://archania.org/concluding_remarks.html)).


Title: Re: Sustainability
Post by: Scalare on September 14, 2017, 10:40:29 pm
There's too much at play here to simply draw that conclusion. This could go hundreds of ways.


Title: Re: Sustainability
Post by: Zanthius on September 18, 2017, 11:33:59 pm
Here are some updates to my article:

(https://image.ibb.co/nqMJJk/landuse.jpg)

(https://image.ibb.co/nurXTk/caloric_footprint.jpg)

http://archania.org/ending_the_destruction_of_our_habitat.html (http://archania.org/ending_the_destruction_of_our_habitat.html)


Title: Re: Sustainability
Post by: Death 999 on September 19, 2017, 12:41:46 am
Tea may be inefficient per kg of tea leaf, but how inefficient is it per kg of actual tea? Most foods aren't judged by their dessicated weight. Similarly though to a lesser extent for coffee.


Title: Re: Sustainability
Post by: Scalare on September 19, 2017, 09:47:38 am
You should also take into account that there will be less and less farmland due to buildings and most importantly, global warming.
This is often overlooked, but the destert areas near the equator will see temperature increases in such a way that we will lose a lot of farmland.


Title: Re: Sustainability
Post by: Zanthius on September 19, 2017, 06:23:35 pm
Tea may be inefficient per kg of tea leaf, but how inefficient is it per kg of actual tea? Most foods aren't judged by their dessicated weight. Similarly though to a lesser extent for coffee.

You are absolutely right. When I corrected it according to how much grams we use of coffee and tea in a liter of water, I removed tea since we only use 8 grams tea in 1 liter water, and coffee was down-regulated a lot. I added vegetable oils, since they seem to be a much bigger problem.

(https://image.ibb.co/dr6vYk/landuse.jpg)


Title: Re: Sustainability
Post by: Zanthius on September 19, 2017, 06:27:56 pm
You should also take into account that there will be less and less farmland due to buildings and most importantly, global warming.
This is often overlooked, but the destert areas near the equator will see temperature increases in such a way that we will lose a lot of farmland.

We are actually going to use less area for buildings in the future due to urbanization. People will probably live more and more concentrated in cities.

It is very difficult to estimate how global warming is going to affect how much farm land we will have in the future.


Title: Re: Sustainability
Post by: Scalare on September 19, 2017, 06:44:45 pm
Why will we get more urbanisation while transportation gets faster and cheaper?


Title: Re: Sustainability
Post by: Zanthius on September 19, 2017, 08:22:09 pm
Why will we get more urbanisation while transportation gets faster and cheaper?

Well, there has been a trend towards urbanization, which doesn't seem to have been reduced when we got trains, steam boats, cars, and airplanes.

(http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_A8ddo0sljwY/R1BXrSF8VzI/AAAAAAAAADo/p03LMjJpy5Y/s1600-R/unpop.jpg)

People in developing countries are especially eager to move to cities. Maybe because they can find many things there which they never were exposed to on the countryside.

(http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_huT98GwHvrA/TNHAAqRmYWI/AAAAAAAAAAg/vKH7NgTQu88/s1600/Trends+in+Global+Urbanization.png)

Maybe the urbanization trend is going to be reduced by Internet, since we can now get exposed to almost anything through Internet. However, most people living on the countryside in developing countries don't necessarily have access to Internet.


Title: Re: Sustainability
Post by: Scalare on September 19, 2017, 10:24:45 pm
You are using the wrong metrics there. It is logical that the rural population decreases, because farms get bigger and bigger and the people working them get less and less, due to industrialisation.
Any rural area resident should see this.
Also, the city that I live in was the 'epicenter' of the biggest pig flu in hisory. Many pig farmers were forced to cremate their pigs and sell their companies.
Currently in that aspect we also see 'pig-flats' by the way, which house more pigs per square meter (on the ground) than ever before.


Title: Re: Sustainability
Post by: Zanthius on September 20, 2017, 12:24:34 am
I have now added my own version of the overfishing graph:

(https://image.ibb.co/eZn5G5/overfishing.jpg)

http://archania.org/ending_the_destruction_of_our_habitat.html (http://archania.org/ending_the_destruction_of_our_habitat.html)


Title: Re: Sustainability
Post by: Scalare on September 20, 2017, 09:44:12 am
There are also graphs which countries use the most global hectares per person.
Could we tax the hell out of them or have global trade bans for those countries to improved the world?


Title: Re: Sustainability
Post by: Death 999 on September 20, 2017, 01:15:37 pm
You are using the wrong metrics there. It is logical that the rural population decreases, because farms get bigger and bigger and the people working them get less and less, due to industrialisation.
So, what makes that the wrong metric, and what would be a better one?


Title: Re: Sustainability
Post by: Scalare on September 20, 2017, 01:43:19 pm
You are using the wrong metrics there. It is logical that the rural population decreases, because farms get bigger and bigger and the people working them get less and less, due to industrialisation.
So, what makes that the wrong metric, and what would be a better one?

I don't think that there are any metrics that prove his statement. It is incredibly far fetched, like saying: 'countries in which more citizens wear glasses are also countries in which cancer is the most prevalent'. -> 'nearsightedness causes cancer'.
Posting a graph with that statement doesn't give it any more validity :).


Title: Re: Sustainability
Post by: Zanthius on September 20, 2017, 06:02:43 pm
I don't think that there are any metrics that prove his statement. It is incredibly far fetched, like saying: 'countries in which more citizens wear glasses are also countries in which cancer is the most prevalent'. -> 'nearsightedness causes cancer'.
Posting a graph with that statement doesn't give it any more validity :).

You claimed that there would be less farmland in the future, because of more buildings:

You should also take into account that there will be less and less farmland due to buildings

This seems to be a much more far fetched claim, since urbanization has been going on for a long time now, and we don't have any empirical data which shows that the urbanization trend is decreasing.

Since you were the one that claimed that there would be less farmland in the future because of more buildings, you need to prove that the urbanization trend is decreasing. Or alternatively, that the urbanization trend doesn't matter.

If you can prove that, I will be happy to write about that there will be less farmland in the future due to more buildings.


Title: Re: Sustainability
Post by: Scalare on September 20, 2017, 08:47:33 pm
this thread was about why we produce less food on the planet, right? There is less farmland but there is more production per hectare, and there are also less people working on farms due to industrialisation of farm equipment (they can do the same production with less people).
But in this specific case I think we're confused about the word urbanisation, which means a percentage increase (people moving from rural to cities), but also a land usage increase for urban areas.


Title: Re: Sustainability
Post by: Zanthius on September 20, 2017, 10:10:43 pm
But in this specific case I think we're confused about the word urbanisation, which means a percentage increase (people moving from rural to cities), but also a land usage increase for urban areas.

Farmers and people on the countryside usually don't live in skyscrapers, but some of the urban population do. Of course cities might increase in size, but they might also have an increased population due to taller buildings.

The increased size of a city is not going to be as high as the decrease in land occupied by people moving away from the countryside. A thousand farmers might all have their own farm houses on the countryside, but when they move to a city, they might live in the same skyscraper.


Title: Re: Sustainability
Post by: Scalare on September 20, 2017, 11:27:21 pm
But in this specific case I think we're confused about the word urbanisation, which means a percentage increase (people moving from rural to cities), but also a land usage increase for urban areas.

Farmers and people on the countryside usually don't live in skyscrapers, but some of the urban population do. Of course cities might increase in size, but they might also have an increased population due to taller buildings.

The increased size of a city is not going to be as high as the decrease in land occupied by people moving away from the countryside. A thousand farmers might all have their own farm houses on the countryside, but when they move to a city, they might live in the same skyscraper.

That all really depends how you define countryside and city. It's different all across the world. Even in English speaking countries it differs, with different definitions :).


Title: Re: Sustainability
Post by: Zanthius on September 21, 2017, 12:34:02 am
That all really depends how you define countryside and city. It's different all across the world. Even in English speaking countries it differs, with different definitions :).

Well, Netherlands is a relatively small country with a very high population density, so in Netherlands there isn't necessarily so much difference between a city and the countryside. Your entire country is crowded.

(http://popdensitymap.ucoz.ru/60.Population_density-administrative_boundaries-ma.jpg)


Title: Re: Sustainability
Post by: Scalare on September 21, 2017, 09:08:00 am
That all really depends how you define countryside and city. It's different all across the world. Even in English speaking countries it differs, with different definitions :).

Well, Netherlands is a relatively small country with a very high population density, so in Netherlands there isn't necessarily so much difference between a city and the countryside. Your entire country is crowded.

(http://popdensitymap.ucoz.ru/60.Population_density-administrative_boundaries-ma.jpg)

And as I said, everyone has different definitions for the words 'city' and also for 'countryside' :). Because there used to be bought rights for it so smaller townships have it but bigger ones don't, and the government has a definition about it as well. But what you consider a city might be considered a small town in another country.I actually live in a small city with no skyscrapers (I think the biggest building with residents has 6 stories, but still it shows it on this picture as densely packed. And also in the 'rural area' between towns we have heavily industrialized rural areas wifh farms, with way more yield per ha^2 than less developed countries.
So.. using those words doesn't mean anything globally. I think you need to look at crop yield and number of residents per surface area to determine if we can continue to feed the world population.


Title: Re: Sustainability
Post by: Zanthius on September 21, 2017, 07:23:42 pm
I actually live in a small city with no skyscrapers

Ok, but it is usually the biggest cities that increases most, and the biggest cities tend to have skyscrapers.

Quote
AMSTERDAM — The percentage of migrant residents in the four largest Dutch cities, Amsterdam, Rotterdam, Utrecht and The Hague, increased sharply from 36 to 43 percent between 1995 and 2003, the Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS) said on Monday.

https://www.expatica.com/nl/news/Increase-of-migrant-population-in-Dutch-cities_119114.html (https://www.expatica.com/nl/news/Increase-of-migrant-population-in-Dutch-cities_119114.html)

But cities of all sizes actually increase:

(https://morphocode.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/Global-Urban-Population-Growth-1990-2030-1300x491.jpg)


Title: Re: Sustainability
Post by: Scalare on September 21, 2017, 09:35:44 pm
Don't bother with earlier research; the data of CBS is publicly available at statline.cbs.nl :).

and:
Quote
The total population of the four large cities grew by 66,000 between 1995 and 2003 due primarily to an expansion in municipal borders. The population increase in the original municipal borders only amounted to 19,000.

That's governmental reform at work. I think it's really bad to use city borders in any definition, because these change all the time and cities generally tend to get more populated by expanding their borders.
I don't understand why we keep running around in circles about city size when we should be talking about farmland area and how much people we can feed with that :).


Title: Re: Sustainability
Post by: Zanthius on September 23, 2017, 12:42:40 pm
I have written a little about how plastic waste is affecting global fish stocks:

(https://image.ibb.co/h5d4Dk/plastic_waste.jpg)

http://archania.org/ending_the_destruction_of_our_habitat.html (http://archania.org/ending_the_destruction_of_our_habitat.html)

As I am investigating more about plastic waste, I am finding even more disturbing news:

Quote
Plastic fibres found in tap water around the world, study reveals

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2017/sep/06/plastic-fibres-found-tap-water-around-world-study-reveals (https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2017/sep/06/plastic-fibres-found-tap-water-around-world-study-reveals)


Title: Re: Sustainability
Post by: Scalare on September 25, 2017, 10:18:12 am
I have written a little about how plastic waste is affecting global fish stocks:

(https://image.ibb.co/h5d4Dk/plastic_waste.jpg)

http://archania.org/ending_the_destruction_of_our_habitat.html (http://archania.org/ending_the_destruction_of_our_habitat.html)

As I am investigating more about plastic waste, I am finding even more disturbing news:

Quote
Plastic fibres found in tap water around the world, study reveals

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2017/sep/06/plastic-fibres-found-tap-water-around-world-study-reveals (https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2017/sep/06/plastic-fibres-found-tap-water-around-world-study-reveals)

Neither the graph nor the story on your page explains how plastic affects the fish stocks. You jump from 'fish stocks are declining' and 'plastic is increasing' to 'fish stocks are decreasing because of plastic' without actually explaining how fish die because of it, or how many fish die because of it.


Title: Re: Sustainability
Post by: Zanthius on September 25, 2017, 06:53:02 pm
Neither the graph nor the story on your page explains how plastic affects the fish stocks. You jump from 'fish stocks are declining' and 'plastic is increasing' to 'fish stocks are decreasing because of plastic' without actually explaining how fish die because of it, or how many fish die because of it.

Thank you for the feedback. You are absolutely right that I should write more there. I am not sure if plastic in the ocean is contributing to the decrease in global fish stocks or not (I am going to investigate this further). My intention for writing it was rather that people might find it distasteful to eat fish with plastic in it. Fish with plastic in it might not be an equally good source of food.

(http://econews.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/plastic-fish-eaten-science.jpg)

Quote
One of the major problems with the plastic is that the contaminants cause premature death in animals. They can be ingested, leading to a painful death, and other dangers include strangulation or slow starvation if wildlife becomes imprisoned in the plastic. There is also concern about animals using the islands as transportation. They can end up far from their usual habitat and find themselves in unfriendly waters.

http://www.earthtimes.org/pollution/plastic-contamination-atlantic-ocean/377/ (http://www.earthtimes.org/pollution/plastic-contamination-atlantic-ocean/377/)

Quote
There are different types of ways that plastic is dangerous for humans. Direct toxicity from plastics comes from lead, cadmium, and mercury. These toxins have also been found in many fish in the ocean, which is very dangerous for humans. Diethylhexyl phthalate (DEHP) contained in some plastics, is a toxic carcinogen. Other toxins in plastics are directly linked to cancers, birth defects, immune system problems, and childhood developmental issues. To learn more on effects of plastics on humans visit the Ecology Center

Other types of toxic plastics are BPA or health-bisphenol-A, along with phthalates (mentioned above). Both of these are of great concern to human health. BPA is used in many things including plastic bottles and food packaging materials. Over time the polymer chains of BPA break down, and can enter the human body in many ways from drinking contaminated water to eating a fish that is exposed to the broken down toxins. Specifically, BPA is a known chemical that interferes with human hormonal function.

https://serc.carleton.edu/NAGTWorkshops/health/case_studies/plastics.html (https://serc.carleton.edu/NAGTWorkshops/health/case_studies/plastics.html)

Netflix has actually made a documentary about this: https://www.netflix.com/no-en/title/80164032 (https://www.netflix.com/no-en/title/80164032)


Title: Re: Sustainability
Post by: Scalare on September 25, 2017, 11:50:16 pm
That's better :)


Title: Re: Sustainability
Post by: Zanthius on September 26, 2017, 08:56:22 am
Plastics in the ocean is apparently also a problem for whales:

(http://cnnphilippines.com/incoming/7c4a5n-Whale-replica-greenpeace-6-CNNPH.jpg/ALTERNATES/LANDSCAPE_768/Whale-replica-greenpeace-6-CNNPH.jpg)


Title: Re: Sustainability
Post by: Scalare on September 26, 2017, 11:30:18 am
About Greenpeace. What they always went on about is Nestlé using too much palm oil in their products.
And as you might know planting palm oil trees for palm oil destroys rainforests.
But what a lot of palm oil is actually used for is for the biological component of biodiesel, 46% of the palm oil in the EU is used for it.
Luckily the EU has voted for a ban on using palm oil in biodiesel this year, they want to totally abolish using it in 2020. But keep in mind that then we need an alternative. Since diesel needs to be composed of 4% biodiesel :).


Title: Re: Sustainability
Post by: Death 999 on September 26, 2017, 04:52:00 pm
Plastics in the ocean is apparently also a problem for whales:

(http://cnnphilippines.com/incoming/7c4a5n-Whale-replica-greenpeace-6-CNNPH.jpg/ALTERNATES/LANDSCAPE_768/Whale-replica-greenpeace-6-CNNPH.jpg)

That's one heck of a piñata. That is to say, it does not look like a real whale.


Title: Re: Sustainability
Post by: Scalare on September 26, 2017, 05:16:49 pm
Plastics in the ocean is apparently also a problem for whales:

(http://cnnphilippines.com/incoming/7c4a5n-Whale-replica-greenpeace-6-CNNPH.jpg/ALTERNATES/LANDSCAPE_768/Whale-replica-greenpeace-6-CNNPH.jpg)

That's one heck of a piñata. That is to say, it does not look like a real whale.

Did Zanthius say htat it's a real whale then? The 'whale replica' in the URL of the image would give it away don't you think ;).

Tineye.com helps in this matter luckily, so more info is here:
http://www.colombia.com/tecnologia/ciencia-y-salud/sdi/156200/filipinas-ballena-muerta-llena-de-basura-crea-conciencia


Title: Re: Sustainability
Post by: Zanthius on September 26, 2017, 07:16:29 pm
Or you can read about it here: https://www.spot.ph/arts-culture/art-exhibits/70139/dead-whale-project-story-a00171-20170512 (https://www.spot.ph/arts-culture/art-exhibits/70139/dead-whale-project-story-a00171-20170512)

Even though it was an art project, it is based on a true story, and whales are dying from plastics....

Here is an article from today about this problem: http://www.onegreenplanet.org/news/plastic-found-in-arctic-ocean/ (http://www.onegreenplanet.org/news/plastic-found-in-arctic-ocean/)


Title: Re: Sustainability
Post by: Scalare on September 27, 2017, 12:52:45 pm
the fun thing about that whale is that when it is thrown away it makes other whales die.


Title: Re: Sustainability
Post by: Death 999 on September 27, 2017, 01:15:34 pm
I was suggesting that an actual image like the earlier one would perhaps be more convincing.


Title: Re: Sustainability
Post by: Scalare on September 27, 2017, 01:56:22 pm
I was suggesting that an actual image like the earlier one would perhaps be more convincing.
Don't you think that enough sea creatures have died already for this topic?


Title: Re: Sustainability
Post by: Zanthius on October 01, 2017, 02:19:25 pm
More nice news about cattle....

Quote
Scientists have long been aware that methane emissions from cows can impact on our climate, but a new study claims that cow farts may have had a far bigger impact on global warming than we thought possible. The findings, published in the journal Carbon Balance and Management, claims that we may have been off in our calculations of methane emissions from livestock by a staggering 11 percent.

https://www.morningticker.com/2017/10/massive-global-warming-discovery-shocks-scientists/ (https://www.morningticker.com/2017/10/massive-global-warming-discovery-shocks-scientists/)